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Monday, March 28, 2011

Financial World Relies on Key Groups to Track the Economy

Over the years, the closely watched “yield curve” has been fairly adept at signaling the onset of U.S. economic recessions. When short-term Treasury yields exceed long-term yields, an economic slowdown often results. When such a yield “inversion” occurred in late 2005, some economists pointed to it as an indication that a recession was approaching. Some two years later, the economy indeed fell into recession.

A yield curve inversion would seem to be a fairly straightforward method for ascertaining the direction of the economy, but more often than not, matters are not so simple. This is evidenced by the committees and teams who join forces to study the economy and weigh in with predictions and forecasts. Here’s a look at some of the key organizations that bring together the world’s most powerful and influential economists.

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